Wednesday, April 14, 2010

Is Warne throwing in the towel ?

I saw these tweets by Shane Warne yesterday night..
"Apologies to all royals fans, very shattering to play like that tonight in such a big game ! Out of ipl ... Such a shame, our young players"
"Sorry meant to be our young inexpeirienxed players have learnt a lot, we are all hurting , sad feeling to be knocked out, goodnight all"

One can understand how dejected and disappointed Warne must be feeling after being knocked out of the tournament.. But there is one small problem.. they are still not knocked out.. at least not mathematically. At the time of writing this article, here are the team standings
Team          Points         Matches Left
--------        --------        ----------------
Mumbai        18                    2
RCB              14                   1
CSK              12                   2
DD                12                   2
RR                 12                  1
Deccan          12                   2
KKR              10                   2
KXI               8                     2


So given that there are 7 more matches to go, only team that has been theoretically knocked out are Punjab. Even KKR, who are two points below RR in the table have a chance.


RR has two problems, they have just 1 match left and their net run rate is pretty poor compared to other teams in contention. It goes without saying that the next match is a must win for them, which will take them to 14th position. RR should also hope that Mumbai and Punjab win their remaining matches, which would make the job difficult for other teams. Although RR can still win by a big margin and improve their net run rate, there is even one possibility that net run rate won't come into picture. Here is how - 

Teams Winner
CSK DD DD
KXI Deccan KXI
RCB Mumbai Mumbai
KKR RR RR
KXI CSK KXI
DD Deccan DD
KKR Mumbai Mumbai


And the points table at the end of it would look something like -

Team           Points
Mumbai 22
DD 16
RCB 14
RR 14
CSK 12
Deccan 12
KXI 12
KKR 10


So RR is definitely not out of it by any means. Admittedly, their job is difficult and not completely in their hands. But one wonders why Warne is throwing in the towel with one more match to go. 

On a related note, did anyone notice Warne signaling for a strategic time out against Mumbai from the dug out? One small problem - it was sixth over of RR innings and that time-out belonged to bowling team (Mumbai). One wonders if captaincy is taking its toll on Warney now.

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